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P. Llamas Ruiz vs P. Nesterov2 - 1

ATP Challenger Tour logoATP Challenger Tour·Thursday 8 October at 15:45
Full timeMatch time

Llamas Ruiz favoured, but Nesterov’s Villena form warrants caution

Our pick

odds are estimates
  • Match Winner
    P. Llamas Ruiz to win@ 1.40
    Medium confidenceWon

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Full analysis

Llamas Ruiz is ranked 144 with 397 points, compared with Nesterov’s ranking of 298 and 187 points. His available price of 1.36, implying roughly a 74% chance, closely matches the six-bookmaker average of 1.34 and supports him as the favourite.

Llamas Ruiz beat L. Nardi 2–0 in Villena on 5 October, following mixed results that included a 2–1 win over K. Coppejans and a 2–1 loss to R. Brancaccio in Seville. Nesterov has won three consecutive matches in Villena, beating C. Chen and H. Barton 2–1 before defeating C. Hernandez 2–0, so his current form offers a credible challenge.

Medium confidence reflects the agreement between Llamas Ruiz’s stronger ranking, his straight-sets opening win and the market assessment. Nesterov’s three local wins and the absence of head-to-head evidence prevent a High rating, while the ranking advantage and recent result provide enough support to avoid Low.

This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

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