Michelsen favoured to progress in Shanghai
Our pick
odds are estimates- High confidenceLostMatch WinnerA. Michelsen to win@ 1.50
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Michelsen is ranked 35th with 1,460 points, ahead of Van de Zandschulp at 41st with 1,258. His three straight-set US Open victories, followed by competitive defeats to Tiafoe and Alcaraz, support the market's preference for him.
Van de Zandschulp beat Mérida 1–6, 6–3, 6–4 in his Shanghai opener and has won three of his five listed matches. That local match experience and the narrow ranking gap are meaningful counterweights, although Michelsen's recent results offer the stronger overall performance signal.
Michelsen's 1.50 price implies a 66.7% chance, slightly below my estimate of around 70%. High confidence reflects the agreement between his ranking advantage and recent performance profile, alongside no reported fitness concern; the close rankings keep the expected edge modest.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. SharpTips does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Related articles
All articles →
J. Lehecka vs N. Borges preview: Shanghai Masters
J. Lehecka and N. Borges meet in the Shanghai Masters second round on Saturday. Their rankings, recent results and previous meeting set the scene for the match.
N. Borges vs F. Diaz Acosta prediction and preview
N. Borges and F. Diaz Acosta meet at the ATP Tour event in Shanghai on Thursday 8 October. Their recent results and rankings provide the main points of comparison.
What the data says about ATP hard-court upsets this season
Seeded players losing early has felt more common this year. We dig into the return-game and fatigue numbers behind the pattern - and where it's overstated.
Recommended predictions
The strongest picks we have published for the coming matches.
Why bettors use SharpTips
Every pick is timestamped at least 12 hours before the match and never edited afterwards.
Wins and losses are settled automatically from the final score and stay public.
Form, league table, season statistics, injuries and line-ups for each match.
Bookmaker prices are the baseline - we look for concrete reasons to side with or against them.
Selections are written in full, exactly as they appear on a betting slip.
No pick is forced onto a fixture - where the data is thin we publish nothing.